Pollsters work very hard to get things right. They did so in this election. Contrary to the angry conspiracy theorists, pollsters do not generally seek to influence the election (at least the credible ones, and those are the ones you see on the news). We even have a code of ethics we all follow-- you can see what they asked, the sample methods, etc. And, to be honest, they all know they will be graded the day after the election.
- Just because everyone YOU know thinks one way does not mean it is the majority. When everyone you know is voting for the same candidate you are, the polls can seem unbelievable. But as we saw in the final results, they were accurate.
- Making accusations can hurt your credibility. Facts are our friends. And, everyone had some similar facts here. The truth is that while everyone acknowledged the momentum gained after the first debate, Governor Romney never had a sustained lead in the swing states.
- People have selective memory--we can think, "But I saw when he was up in the battleground states!" Yes-- in a few polls he was ahead, and those were given prominence on The Drudge Report. But, that was never consistent in the majority of polls.